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BPI Terminal โ€” Weekly Edition
Monday, August 17, 2026 ยท Vol. I ยท burgerprice.com

Burger Market Sees Volatility: West Coast Rallies as East Coast Corrects

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MARKET OVERVIEW

The National Average BPI experienced a notable correction this week, closing at $15.25, down from previous levels. This broad market weakness was largely driven by significant pullbacks in major metropolitan areas on the East Coast and Midwest. New York's BPI saw a sharp decline of 6.7%, while Boston and Chicago registered substantial losses of 9.3% and 14.4% respectively. This suggests a potential sector rotation away from established premium burger markets towards growth regions on the West Coast.

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THE TAPE

โ–ฒ 24.7%San Francisco, CASan Francisco's burger index rallied significantly, breaking through previous resistance levels and indicating strong bullish momentum in the region.
โ–ฒ 24.5%Seattle, WASeattle displayed impressive gains, mirroring San Francisco's upward trajectory and suggesting a robust expansionary phase for its burger market.
โ–ฒ 18.5%Nashville, TNNashville's market continued its ascent, demonstrating sustained investor confidence and strong demand for its mid-tier burger offerings.
โ–ผ 14.4%Chicago, ILChicago's burger index experienced a sharp correction, falling below key support levels and signaling potential downside risk for the immediate future.
โ–ผ 11.2%Los Angeles, CALos Angeles saw significant price depreciation, breaking its prior trading range and indicating bearish sentiment among consumers and investors.
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CITY SPOTLIGHT: SAN FRANCISCO, CA

San Francisco's burger market has emerged as a clear leader this week, with its BPI surging by an impressive 24.7% to close at $18.75. This performance significantly outpaces the national average and suggests a strong recovery or expansionary phase. The high-end segment, represented by Nopa at $26.00, appears to be driving much of this upward momentum, though even the low-end staple at McDonald's saw a minor uptick. The market's ability to sustain such gains will be closely watched, but current indicators point to strong investor and consumer appetite.

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BURGER OF THE WEEK

Black Label Burger

$38.00
Minetta Tavern ยท New York, NY

While the price point of $38.00 positions the Black Label Burger firmly in the luxury segment, its consistent premium valuation suggests it is capturing significant alpha. This burger represents a high-quality offering that commands a significant premium, reflecting strong brand equity and perceived value in a discerning market.

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THE SPREAD

National Low
$4.75
In-N-Out Burger
Los Angeles
National High
$38.00
Minetta Tavern
New York

The spread between the national cheapest ($4.75) and most expensive ($38.00) burger remains exceptionally wide, highlighting significant disparities in market valuation and consumer purchasing power across regions. This vast delta underscores the bifurcated nature of the burger market, with distinct opportunities in both the value and ultra-premium segments.

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ANALYST'S CORNER: REGIONAL DIVERGENCE AND THE MID-TIER CONUNDRUM

This week's trading data presents a compelling case for regional divergence within the national burger market. The strong performance of West Coast markets like San Francisco and Seattle, coupled with significant pullbacks in traditional strongholds such as Chicago and Los Angeles, suggests a shifting investment landscape. We are observing a potential flight to quality and growth in emerging markets, away from previously overvalued sectors.

BPI WEEKLY ยท The Burger Price Index ยท Est. 2026 ยท View All Editions

Past Editions

Aug 10, 2026

National BPI Corrects Downward Amidst Regional Divergence

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Aug 3, 2026

National BPI Corrects Sharply; Chicago Leads Sell-Off

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Jul 27, 2026

Burger Market Sees Volatility; Chicago Rallies, SF Corrects Sharply

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Jul 20, 2026

National BPI Corrects Amidst Regional Volatility; Chicago Leads Sell-Off

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Jul 13, 2026

National BPI Sees Correction Amidst Regional Divergence; LA and SF Rally

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Jul 6, 2026

BPI National Average Faces Headwinds; Chicago Rallies on Strong Fundamentals

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Jun 29, 2026

National Burger Index Corrects; LA Rallies on Strong Demand

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Jun 22, 2026

Burger Market Sees Volatility; Chicago Rallies, LA Dips

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Jun 15, 2026

National Burger Index Faces Sell-Off; Premium Segment Under Pressure

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Jun 8, 2026

National BPI Surges 10.5% Amidst Chicago, LA Rally; Inflationary Pressures Persist

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Jun 1, 2026

National Burger Index Retreats Amidst Sector Rotation and Inflationary Pressures

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May 25, 2026

BPI Sees Volatility as Inflationary Pressures Persist; Austin, NOLA Rally

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May 18, 2026

BPI Weekly: Nashville, Seattle Burger Markets Correct Sharply as National Average Consolidates

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May 11, 2026

National BPI Dips Amidst Regional Weakness; Chicago Leads Decline

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May 4, 2026

Burger Market Sees Volatility; Austin, SF Rally on Strong Demand

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Apr 27, 2026

National BPI Corrects as Volatility Surges; Austin Leads Sell-Off

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Apr 20, 2026

National BPI Dips Amidst Regional Volatility; Chicago Shows Resilience

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Apr 13, 2026

National BPI Surges Amidst Regional Divergence; Chicago Leads Rally

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Apr 6, 2026

National BPI Corrects Amidst Regional Divergence; Austin Rallies

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Mar 30, 2026

BPI National Average Shows Volatility; Austin, LA Correct Sharply

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Mar 23, 2026

National Burger Index Sees Volatility; Austin Rallies on Strong Demand

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Mar 16, 2026

National BPI Stabilizes as Regional Divergence Widens

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Mar 9, 2026

National Burger Index Shows Volatility; Tech Hubs Lead Divergence

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Mar 2, 2026

BPI: National Average Under Pressure as Seattle Rallies

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Feb 23, 2026

Burger Market Sees Volatility; Nashville Rallies, Coastal Hubs Correct

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Feb 16, 2026

Burger Market Sees Volatility: Boston Dives, LA & Austin Rally

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Feb 9, 2026

BPI Rallies on East Coast Strength, West Coast Faces Headwinds

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Feb 2, 2026

National BPI Retreats Amidst Regional Volatility; Seattle Rallies Strong

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Jan 26, 2026

Burger Market Sees Broad Correction; Pacific Sees Steep Declines

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Jan 19, 2026

Burger Market Sees Volatility; Nashville Rallies on Strong Demand

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Jan 12, 2026

National BPI Sees Volatility; New Orleans Rallies, LA Contracts Sharply

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Jan 5, 2026

Burger Market Sees Volatility; LA Rallies, Coastal Cities Correct

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Dec 29, 2025

Burger Market Cools: National Average Retreats, LA and Seattle See Sharp Corrections

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Dec 22, 2025

National BPI Rallies to $16.01; New York Leads Gains Amidst Premium Sector Strength

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